Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.000635 0.000722 0.000815 0.000920 0.001036 0.001159 0.001301
2025-10-05 0.000515 0.000639 0.000779 0.000949 0.001146 0.001369 0.001636
2025-10-12 0.000446 0.000587 0.000755 0.000965 0.001219 0.001516 0.001884
2025-10-19 0.000383 0.000532 0.000716 0.000957 0.001257 0.001617 0.002077
2025-10-26 0.000331 0.000485 0.000681 0.000944 0.001284 0.001701 0.002246
2025-11-02 0.000298 0.000456 0.000664 0.000952 0.001333 0.001812 0.002449
2025-11-09 0.000267 0.000427 0.000644 0.000953 0.001371 0.001906 0.002631
2025-11-16 0.000230 0.000385 0.000604 0.000923 0.001364 0.001941 0.002737
2025-11-23 0.000201 0.000352 0.000571 0.000899 0.001364 0.001982 0.002849
2025-11-30 0.000181 0.000330 0.000553 0.000895 0.001388 0.002056 0.003005
2025-12-07 0.000164 0.000312 0.000539 0.000894 0.001416 0.002134 0.003168
2025-12-14 0.000147 0.000292 0.000519 0.000883 0.001430 0.002191 0.003303
2025-12-21 0.000131 0.000270 0.000496 0.000868 0.001435 0.002238 0.003426
2025-12-28 0.000124 0.000266 0.000501 0.000893 0.001501 0.002373 0.003674
2026-01-04 0.000117 0.000258 0.000499 0.000909 0.001553 0.002488 0.003896
2026-01-11 0.000105 0.000243 0.000483 0.000901 0.001569 0.002549 0.004044
2026-01-18 0.000095 0.000227 0.000466 0.000889 0.001577 0.002600 0.004176
2026-01-25 0.000088 0.000219 0.000461 0.000897 0.001616 0.002696 0.004376
2026-02-01 0.000081 0.000209 0.000452 0.000898 0.001642 0.002774 0.004551
2026-02-08 0.000070 0.000191 0.000427 0.000869 0.001620 0.002778 0.004614
2026-02-15 0.000062 0.000176 0.000406 0.000846 0.001607 0.002795 0.004697
2026-02-22 0.000056 0.000168 0.000396 0.000842 0.001624 0.002857 0.004850
2026-03-01 0.000052 0.000160 0.000388 0.000841 0.001646 0.002928 0.005016